{"id":758,"date":"2024-02-04T16:01:21","date_gmt":"2024-02-04T13:01:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/?p=758"},"modified":"2024-06-27T22:12:47","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:12:47","slug":"ocak-2024-sonu-portfoy-durumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/04\/ocak-2024-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ocak 2024 Sonu Portf\u00f6y Durumu"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Herkese selamlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bir ay\u0131n daha sonuna geldik. Finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 tam 67 ay olmu\u015f. Bu ay\u0131n yaz\u0131s\u0131na \u00f6nce global piyasalarla ba\u015flayal\u0131m. FED ocak ay\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda beklendi\u011fi \u015fekilde politika faizini sabit tutarak %5.25-5.5 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u0131rakt\u0131. Toplant\u0131 metninde ise %2 enflasyon hedefine vurgu yap\u0131larak gerekli seviyeye ula\u015fana kadar s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na devam edilece\u011fi belirtildi. \u015eu anda piyasada en erken faiz indiriminin may\u0131sta olabilece\u011fi konu\u015fuluyor. Zaman i\u00e7erisinde gelen verilerle bu de\u011fi\u015fecektir fakat y\u0131l sonuna kadar en az\u0131nda 3 adet faiz indirimi olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu indirimlerin 25’er bp’den toplamda 75 bp olmas\u0131 durumunda y\u0131l sonu faizinin %4 civar\u0131nda olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz. Karar sonras\u0131 SP500 \u00f6nce sert d\u00fc\u015fse de sonra toparlayarak kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 geri ald\u0131 ve ay\u0131 4845 puandan bitirdi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yurti\u00e7i tarafta ise TCMB beklendi\u011fi gibi 250 bp art\u0131\u015f yaparak politika faizini %45 seviyesine getirirken gerekli s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verdi. Bu haberin ard\u0131ndan borsa istanbul g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fe sahne oldu ve ay\u0131 8474 puandan kapatt\u0131. Piyasalar\u0131n kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ise TCMB ba\u015fkan\u0131 Hafize Gaye Erkan’\u0131n istifa haberi geldi. \u0130lk ba\u015fta ikinci bir Naci A\u011fbal vakas\u0131 m\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor pani\u011fi ya\u015fansa da bu istifan\u0131n tamamen \u015fahsi bir olaydan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 hem sn Erkan hem de sn Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek taraf\u0131ndan vurguland\u0131. Erkan’\u0131n yerine TCMB ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 bir ba\u015fka cv’si g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc isim olan Fatih Karahan’\u0131n atanmas\u0131, ekonomi politikas\u0131nda bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmayaca\u011f\u0131 sadece isim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle devam edilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 kurumlar da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde s\u00fcre\u00e7te s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n devam edece\u011fi beklentisini payla\u015fan raporlar yay\u0131nlad\u0131. \u015eahsi olarak ben de bu kadar s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklemiyorum. Umar\u0131m y\u0131l sonunda enflasyonun kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve istikrar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eahsi portf\u00f6y\u00fcme gelecek olursak bu ay i\u00e7erisinde #TOASO, #VESBE ve #EREGL hisselerine eklemeler yaparak ortakl\u0131k paylar\u0131m\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131m. Bu eklemeler uzun bir s\u00fcre sonra yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m ilk ciddi al\u0131m oldu. Bu al\u0131mlar 2024’te almay\u0131 bekledi\u011fim temett\u00fc miktar\u0131n\u0131 %2 artt\u0131rd\u0131. Ocak ay\u0131nda hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fcm %9.5, toplam portf\u00f6y\u00fcm ise %7.96 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Dolar baz\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise %4.89 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. G\u00fcncel portf\u00f6y durumum bu \u015fekildedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

ABD taraf\u0131nda bu ay eurobond kuponlar\u0131ndan gelen gelirler ile yeni etf al\u0131mlar\u0131 yapt\u0131m. Hem etf\u2019lerim hem de hisselerim g\u00fczel y\u00fckseli\u015fler ya\u015fad\u0131. ABD piyasalar\u0131 2022 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 geri alarak en y\u00fcksek seviyelerinde seyrediyor. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Eurobond taraf\u0131nda bu ay al\u0131m yapmad\u0131m. Hem e\u015fimle birlikte 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 beyan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n olmam\u0131z hem de cds’lerin nispeten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131 nedeniyle gelen kuponlar\u0131 ABD etf’lerine y\u00f6nlendirdim. Bu y\u0131l yeni al\u0131m yapmazsam toplamda 6520 $ kupon geliri elde edece\u011fim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Toparlayacak olursam,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu ay hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fcm %9.5, toplam portf\u00f6y\u00fcm ise %7.96 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Dolar baz\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise %4.89 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Yeni ekonomi y\u00f6netimi \u00f6nderli\u011finde her ne kadar s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131 s\u00fcrse de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirli\u011fin artmas\u0131n\u0131 ve dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecini \u00f6nemsiyorum. Portf\u00f6y\u00fcmdeki \u015firketler genellikle bor\u00e7suz ve net nakitte bulunan \u015firketler oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in s\u0131k\u0131 politikalar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda defansif konumdalar. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren tekrar gev\u015femenin ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken borsa bunu mutlaka \u00f6nden fiyatlayacakt\u0131r. O s\u00fcrece kadar g\u00fcvendi\u011fim ve inand\u0131\u011f\u0131m \u015firketlerin paylar\u0131n\u0131 toplamaya devam edece\u011fim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck paylar\u0131na sahip oldu\u011fum \u015firketlerin hisse senetleri sayesinde finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcme ula\u015ft\u0131m. Bunun i\u00e7in d\u00fcr\u00fcst y\u00f6netime sahip ve karlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in gece g\u00fcnd\u00fcz \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan t\u00fcm \u015firketlerime minnettar\u0131m. Pay piyasalar\u0131(borsa) bence bireylerin varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131 ve hatta zengin olmalar\u0131 i\u00e7in en etkili yollardan birisi. Umar\u0131m \u00fclkemizde finansal okuryazarl\u0131k daha da artar ve pay piyasalar\u0131m\u0131z derinle\u015fir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Okudu\u011funuz i\u00e7in te\u015fekk\u00fcr ederim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bay Tutumlu<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Herkese selamlar. Bir ay\u0131n daha sonuna geldik. Finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 tam 67 ay olmu\u015f. Bu ay\u0131n yaz\u0131s\u0131na \u00f6nce global piyasalarla ba\u015flayal\u0131m. FED ocak…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":619,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[5,3,7,8,6,4,34,15],"tags":[22,28,24,33,25,26],"class_list":["post-758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","category-erken-emeklilik","category-eurobond","category-finansal-ozgurluk","category-fire","category-hisse-senedi","category-portfoy","category-yatirim","tag-borsa","tag-eurobond","tag-finansal-ozgurluk","tag-finansalozgurluk","tag-fire","tag-hisse-senedi","entry","double"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/baytutumlu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/field-clouds-sky-earth-46160.jpeg?fit=1880%2C1259&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=758"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/758\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":764,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/758\/revisions\/764"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/619"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}