{"id":48,"date":"2020-06-30T18:55:00","date_gmt":"2020-06-30T15:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/06\/30\/haziran-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/"},"modified":"2024-06-27T22:25:06","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:25:06","slug":"haziran-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/06\/30\/haziran-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Haziran 2020 Sonu Portf\u00f6y Durumu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Bug\u00fcn itibariyle Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. 2020 nin yar\u0131s\u0131na geldi\u011fimiz bu g\u00fcnlerde ciddi manada yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 tam 2 y\u0131l olmu\u015f. Piyasalardaki olumlu hava haziran ay\u0131nda da devam etti. T\u00fcrkiye’de vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 yeterince azalmasa da restaurant, tatil yeri, cafe vb yerlerin a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen bu say\u0131larda kalmam\u0131z da fena bir ba\u015far\u0131 de\u011fil bana g\u00f6re. Yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ise salg\u0131n\u0131n daha ge\u00e7 etki etti\u011fi \u00fclkeler en k\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc ya\u015famaya daha yeni ba\u015flad\u0131 diyebiliriz. \u00d6zellikle ABD, G\u00fcney Amerika \u00fclkeleri ve Hindistan’da vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 zirvelerde geziniyor. Buna ra\u011fmen geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin bir\u00e7o\u011fu ekonomisini daha fazla kapal\u0131 tutamad\u0131 ve kontroll\u00fc olarak hayat yeniden ba\u015flad\u0131. K\u0131\u015f d\u00f6neminde ikinci bir dalgan\u0131n gelip gelmeyece\u011fini hep beraber g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. \u0130n\u015fallah t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya yeterince haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131d\u0131r ve b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar ya\u015famadan atlat\u0131r\u0131z.<\/div>\n
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Piyasalara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 iyimserli\u011fin devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. May\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131 3000 puan civar\u0131nda bitiren SP500 3232 puan\u0131 g\u00f6rse de haziran ay\u0131n\u0131 3050 puan seviyesinden kapatt\u0131. BIST100 ise di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck borsalardan pozitif ayr\u0131\u015farak 105.520 puandan giri\u015f yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 haziran ay\u0131nda 116.844 puan seviyesine kadar y\u00fckseldi. Bunda ge\u00e7en ay\u0131n raporunda yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f yasa\u011f\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi ve borsaya yeni giren y\u00fczbinlerce yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck. \u0130\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n raporuna g\u00f6re her g\u00fcn ortalama 4 bin yeni borsa hesab\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar hen\u00fcz reel bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6rmediler ve s\u00fcrekli y\u00fckselen bir piyasada her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn risk art\u0131yor diyebiliriz. Piyasalar\u0131n s\u00fcrekli d\u00fc\u015fmesi gibi s\u00fcrekli y\u00fckselmesinin de sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyim. USD\/TRY cephesinde ise haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda 6.82 olan kur \u00e7ok fazla de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek 6.85 seviyesine geldi. Gram alt\u0131n ise de\u011fer kazanarak 379 liradan 392 liraya y\u00fckseldi. Ons alt\u0131n 2011 zirvelerine olduk\u00e7a yak\u0131n seyrediyor, bakal\u0131m piyasaya enjekte edilen likidite daha ne kadar alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine neden olacak g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/div>\n
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Portf\u00f6y durumuna gelecek olursak Haziran ay\u0131na 258.920 liradan ba\u015flayan hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fcm %9.65 art\u0131\u015fla 283.922 liraya y\u00fckseldi. Haziranda olduk\u00e7a sakin ve az devir oran\u0131na sahip bir ay ge\u00e7irdim. Portf\u00f6y\u00fcmdeki hisselerden TOASO ve PETKM’de g\u00fczel y\u00fckseli\u015fler g\u00f6rd\u00fck. \u00d6zellikle 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri d\u00fc\u015fen marjlar\u0131n da etkisiyle k\u00f6t\u00fc g\u00fcnler ge\u00e7iren PETKM’in toparlanmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 benim gibi sab\u0131rla hisselerini tutanlar\u0131 sevindirdi. Bu vesileyle sn\u00a0Ya\u015far Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m<\/a>‘dan bir al\u0131nt\u0131 daha payla\u015fmak istiyorum.<\/div>\n
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”1 y\u0131l sonra biri bana;<\/span><\/div>\n
‘Son 1,5 y\u0131lda borsada para kazanamad\u0131m’ derse;<\/div>\n

\u0130ki ihtimal vard\u0131r,<\/p>\n

-Yada spek hisselerinde beklemi\u015ftir<\/div>\n

-Ya \u00e7ok hisse de\u011fi\u015ftirmi\u015ftir Sonuc,<\/p>\n

-Korkulacak bir borsa seviyesinde de\u011filiz, ama korkulacak hissemiz \u00e7ok<\/div>\n
-Temeli duzgun hissede BEK-LEN-ME-L\u0130”<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
Bazen \u00e7evremizdeki insanlar ad\u0131n\u0131 bile duymad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, duysak bile yan\u0131ndan ge\u00e7meyece\u011fimiz hisselerde \u00e7ok ciddi paralar kazanm\u0131\u015f ve kazan\u0131yor olabilirler. Fakat ortak oldu\u011funuz \u015firketlerden ve ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z fiyattan eminseniz(pahal\u0131 almad\u0131ysan\u0131z) hisseniz eninde sonunda ederine gelecektir. Burada size bekleme sabr\u0131n\u0131 veren de b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda temett\u00fc olacakt\u0131r. Temett\u00fc da\u011f\u0131tma al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmayan bir hissede beklemek ile sa\u011flam temeli olan hisse ayn\u0131 de\u011fil. Bu nedenle d\u00fcr\u00fcst y\u00f6netime sahip ve kar\u0131n\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 ile payla\u015fan \u015firketlere yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmay\u0131 tercih ediyorum. B\u00f6ylece hissesine sahip oldu\u011fum \u015firketlerin manip\u00fclasyona konu olma riskini azaltm\u0131\u015f oluyorum.<\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
Bu ay yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m al\u0131mlar;<\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
KORDS 135 lot<\/span><\/div>\n
TOASO 90 lot<\/span><\/div>\n
ANHYT 100 lot<\/span><\/div>\n
SODA 160 lot<\/span><\/div>\n
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Sat\u0131\u015flar ise;<\/span><\/div>\n
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ALKIM 150 lot <\/span>olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. <\/span><\/div>\n
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Toplamda 5276 tl lik al\u0131m, 2271 tllik ise sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131m. Hem piyasalar\u0131n nispeten pahal\u0131 olmas\u0131 hem de eurobond al\u0131m\u0131 yapmam nedeniyle hisse taraf\u0131nda al\u0131mlar\u0131m s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu.<\/span><\/div>\n
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G\u00fcncel portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir. Tabloda yazan cari kar oran\u0131 t\u00fcm portf\u00f6y\u00fc yans\u0131tmamakta, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc baz\u0131 hisselerden(TRKCM ve FROTO gibi) tamamen \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131m ve onlardan elde etti\u011fim kar\u0131 bu tabloya eklemedim. EREGL bir s\u00fcrpriz yaparak bu y\u0131l\u0131n temett\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kanunda belirtilen miktar ile s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda tekrar bir genel kurul yap\u0131p geri kalan temett\u00fcy\u00fc verir mi bilinmez fakat \u015fahsen vermeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bu nedenle y\u0131ll\u0131k temett\u00fc gelirim sekteye u\u011frad\u0131. Neyse eurobondlar ile telafi ederiz \ud83d\ude42<\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

B\u00f6ylece 12 ayda alaca\u011f\u0131m muhtemel temett\u00fc 8822 TL oldu. <\/span><\/div>\n
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Eurobond taraf\u0131nda bu ay vadesiz d\u00f6vizlerimi kullanarak US900123BG46 kodlu ve May\u0131s 2040 vadeli eurobonddan 953 usd kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 1000 usd nominallik al\u0131m yapt\u0131m. Bu eurobondun y\u0131ll\u0131k kupon oran\u0131 %6.75 yani 6 ayda bir 33.75 usd kupon alaca\u011f\u0131m. CDS haziran ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde genellikle 400 lerde dola\u015ft\u0131. Toplu al\u0131m i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz uygun noktalar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm i\u00e7in ayl\u0131k al\u0131mlar ile yetiniyorum.<\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
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Bu ay\u0131n ikinci s\u00fcrprizi ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 y\u0131ld\u0131r sahip oldu\u011fum ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ama\u00e7l\u0131 kiraya verdi\u011fim 1+1 evi 240 bin liraya satmam oldu. \u00d6zellikle konut ve ta\u015f\u0131t kredi faizlerinin enflasyonun bile alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle piyasalarda bir canlanma oldu. Ben de bu canlanmay\u0131 f\u0131rsat bilerek finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck yolculu\u011funa ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce alm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fum evi satarak portf\u00f6y\u00fc tamamen likit hale getirdim. \u015eu anda portf\u00f6y\u00fcm\u00fcn %95 inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 en ge\u00e7 2 g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde nakite \u00e7evirebiliyorum. Bu bana daha fazla esneklik ve \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck sa\u011flayacak. Evden gelen nakiti \u015fimdilik k\u0131sa vadeli bor\u00e7lanma ara\u00e7lar\u0131 fonunda(OSL) tutuyorum. Belirli aral\u0131klarla piyasan\u0131n uygun oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm zamanlarda hisse ve eurobond al\u0131m\u0131 yapmay\u0131 planl\u0131yorum. Her ne kadar piyasa zamanlamas\u0131 yapmay\u0131 \u00f6nermesem de bu sefer kendim yapmay\u0131 deneyece\u011fim \ud83d\ude42<\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
G\u00fcncel pasif gelir ve portf\u00f6y durumu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dad\u0131r. Toplam portf\u00f6y b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc TL baz\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re %7 art\u0131\u015fla 750.754 liraya ula\u015ft\u0131. USD baz\u0131nda ise dolar\u0131n nispeten sabit kalmas\u0131yla g\u00fczel bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fad\u0131k ve %6.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile 109.566 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131k. Klasik portf\u00f6y grafiklerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya b\u0131rak\u0131yorum. <\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
Her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck i\u00e7in tasarruf ve yat\u0131r\u0131ma devam…<\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
Bay Tutumlu<\/span><\/div>\n
\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bug\u00fcn itibariyle Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. 2020 nin yar\u0131s\u0131na geldi\u011fimiz bu g\u00fcnlerde ciddi manada yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 tam 2 y\u0131l olmu\u015f. Piyasalardaki olumlu hava haziran…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":404,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[5,3,7,8,6,4,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","category-erken-emeklilik","category-eurobond","category-finansal-ozgurluk","category-fire","category-hisse-senedi","category-portfoy","entry","double"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/baytutumlu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/person-holding-blue-ballpoint-pen-on-white-notebook-669610.jpeg?fit=500%2C331&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":405,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48\/revisions\/405"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/404"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}