{"id":46,"date":"2020-08-31T19:13:00","date_gmt":"2020-08-31T16:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/08\/31\/agustos-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/"},"modified":"2024-06-27T22:25:06","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:25:06","slug":"agustos-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/08\/31\/agustos-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/","title":{"rendered":"A\u011fustos 2020 Sonu Portf\u00f6y Durumu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bug\u00fcn itibariyle a\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Ciddi anlamda yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 26 ay olmu\u015f. 125 ay olarak planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131m finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck yolculu\u011funun %20’sini geride b\u0131rakt\u0131m. 100 aydan az bir zaman sonra elde etti\u011fim pasif gelirler ile rahat bir \u015fekilde ailemizin harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layabilmeyi umuyorum. Bu yolda \u00e7ok fazla \u015fey \u00f6\u011frendim, hatalar yapt\u0131m, bunlardan ders alarak kendimi hem tasarruf hem de yat\u0131r\u0131m konusunda geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Bu blogda ve twitterda da bu tecr\u00fcbelerimi ihtiyac\u0131 olanlara aktarmaya gayret ediyorum. Finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck hedefi ile yola \u00e7\u0131kmadan \u00f6nce sadece k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir fener ya da cep telefonu \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir birey iken, \u015fimdi uzun farlar ile ayd\u0131nlat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f asfalt bir yolda ilerliyor gibiyim. Eminim ki birka\u00e7 y\u0131l sonra daha da iyi olacak \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bile\u015fik getirinin mucizevi etkisini daha iyi g\u00f6rebilece\u011fim. \u015eimdi fazla uzatmadan piyasalar\u0131n durumuna ge\u00e7elim.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Bu ay ABD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ralliye devam etti\u011fi, BIST’in ise de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fi bir ay oldu. Vir\u00fcs konusunda a\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda son a\u015famaya ge\u00e7ilmesi ile iyimserli\u011fi artan piyasalarda SP500, 3258 puan seviyesinden ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131 3508 puandan kapatt\u0131. BIST100 ise 1129 puandan ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayda ini\u015fli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fl\u0131 bir grafik izledi ve ay sonunda 1078 puan seviyelerinde bulunuyor. Dolar bu ay da y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc, temmuz ay\u0131n\u0131 6.98’den kapatan dolar a\u011fustosun son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde 7.35 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor. Gram alt\u0131n ise 438 liradan 465 liraya y\u00fckseldi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu aya, Karadeniz’de ke\u015ffedilen do\u011falgaz ve ay sonunda a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u00f6tv art\u0131\u015f\u0131 damga vurdu. Do\u011falgaz ke\u015ffi \u00f6ncesinde petrol ve petrokimya hisselerini y\u00fckseltirken, rezervin beklenenden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla bu hisseler eski yerlerine geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Otomotiv taraf\u0131nda ise belli motor hacimlerine ve \u00f6tv matrah\u0131na sahip ara\u00e7larda \u00f6tv art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.B\u00f6ylece zaten son 1 y\u0131lda iyice pahalanm\u0131\u015f olan s\u0131f\u0131r ve ikinci el piyasas\u0131 daha da pahalanmaya devam edecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015fte bu art\u0131\u015f, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck matraha sahip olan baz\u0131 ekonomi s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131 ara\u00e7larda indirim anlam\u0131na gelebilir, bekleyip g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. K\u0131sa ve orta vadede TOASO i\u00e7in olumlu olabilir kanaatindeyim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Portf\u00f6y durumuna gelecek olursak, bu ay portf\u00f6y ciddi de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe u\u011frad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle BIST100’\u00fcn 1000 puan\u0131n alt\u0131na indi\u011fi ay\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinde indirim kovalad\u0131\u011f\u0131m baz\u0131 hisselerde al\u0131mlar yapt\u0131m. Bu ay portf\u00f6ye yeni giren hisseler AKGRT, ISMEN, TBORG ve LINK; \u00e7\u0131kan hisse ise PETKM oldu. Detaylar\u0131 verecek olursak al\u0131mlar,<\/span><\/p>\n

TBORG 1300 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

AKGRT 2000 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

ISMEN 1500 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

LINK 100 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

HEKTS 1200 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

ALKIM 700 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

ANHYT 1000 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

TOASO 300 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

EGEEN 30 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

JANTS 75 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

KORDS 200 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

TUPRS 25 lot<\/span><\/p>\n

Sat\u0131\u015flar ise<\/span><\/p>\n

PETKM 6000 lot olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toplam 114.912 tl’lik al\u0131m, 23100 tl’lik ise sat\u0131\u015f i\u015flemi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015fim. Ayr\u0131ca bu ay ilk defa hisse yo\u011fun bir fona yat\u0131r\u0131m yapt\u0131m ve 5000 tl’lik Hedef Portf\u00f6y Hisse Senedi Yo\u011fun Fonu(NNF)’den al\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdim. K\u0131saca portf\u00f6ye yeni giren hisseleri neden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131 payla\u015fay\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>\n

AKGRT ve ISMEN uzun s\u00fcredir takibimde olan iki hisseydi fakat ikinci \u00e7eyrek bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanmadan al\u0131m yapmak istemedim. Bu iki \u015firket de harika iki bilan\u00e7o a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 ve yeni bilan\u00e7oya g\u00f6re ikisinin de fiyat kazan\u00e7 oranlar\u0131 5’in alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00dclkemizde sigortac\u0131l\u0131k ve arac\u0131 kurum sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131m\u0131n olmamas\u0131 ve her iki sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn gelece\u011fini de parlak g\u00f6rmem nedeniyle bu iki hisseyi portf\u00f6ye ekledim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

TBORG ve LINK \u015firketlerinin ikisi de takibimde olan hisseler de\u011fildi fakat ikinci \u00e7eyrek bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 sonucu genel olarak \u015firketleri incelerken TBORG’daki y\u00fcksek \u00f6zvarl\u0131k karl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkatimi \u00e7ekti. Biraz daha detayl\u0131 inceleyince \u015firketin y\u00fcksek net kar marj\u0131na sahip oldu\u011funu, katma de\u011ferli \u00fcr\u00fcn sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve sat\u0131\u015f probleminin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fcm. \u0130\u00e7ecek sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde de yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131m yoktu ve hem \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmeyi art\u0131rmak hem de \u00f6zvarl\u0131k karl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u015firketleri almay\u0131 sevdi\u011fim i\u00e7in bunu da portf\u00f6ye katt\u0131m.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Olduk\u00e7a fazla al\u0131m yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m bu ayla birlikte toplu al\u0131m yapacak nakiti b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda erittim. Sadece \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler i\u00e7in k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir miktar yedek ak\u00e7e b\u0131rakt\u0131m. Bundan sonra tasarruflar ile ayl\u0131k al\u0131mlara devam edece\u011fim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir. Bu ay yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m al\u0131mlarla birlikte 12 ayl\u0131k muhtemel temett\u00fc miktar\u0131m 16.485 TL oldu. Bu y\u0131l genellikle temett\u00fc devlerinin bo\u015f ge\u00e7ti\u011fi ya da az temett\u00fc verdikleri bir y\u0131l oldu. BU nedenle 2021 hatta 2022 temett\u00fclerini daha \u00e7ok \u00f6nemsiyorum. Yine de 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 temett\u00fcleri da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fena olmayan bir temett\u00fc gelirine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131m\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Eurobond taraf\u0131nda bu ay 3 adet al\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdim. CDS’in 600’\u00fc ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakalay\u0131p uzun zamand\u0131r almay\u0131 hedefledi\u011fim US900123AL40 kodlu bonddan 3 adet al\u0131m yapt\u0131m. Bu eurobond, %11.875 kupon oran\u0131yla eurobond yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6z bebeklerinden \ud83d\ude42 Bu al\u0131mlar\u0131mdan y\u0131lda 356.25 usd kupon elde edece\u011fim.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Bu ay sonu raporunda ayr\u0131ca arabaya yeniden de\u011ferleme yapt\u0131m \ud83d\ude42 Uzun s\u00fcredir eski de\u011ferinde g\u00f6sterdi\u011fim arabam\u0131 twitterdan soran bir arkada\u015f\u0131n iste\u011fi \u00fczerine piyasa de\u011ferine g\u00f6re g\u00fcncelledim. Ara\u00e7 piyasas\u0131 olduk\u00e7a oynak ve bu de\u011feri s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015ftirmek istemiyorum, sonu\u00e7 olarak bana bir katk\u0131s\u0131 yok fakat raporlarda her\u015feyin olabildi\u011fince ger\u00e7ek de\u011ferine yak\u0131n olmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyorum.<\/div>\n
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G\u00fcncel pasif gelir ve portf\u00f6y durumu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dad\u0131r. Bu ay portf\u00f6y Tl baz\u0131nda %8.02, usd baz\u0131nda ise %2.75 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ara\u00e7 yeniden de\u011ferleme, bes portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u0131ll\u0131k nemas\u0131 ve tasarruflardan kaynakland\u0131. Portf\u00f6y\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan hisse senetleri bu ay bekleneni veremedi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe ula\u015fana kadar tasarruf ve yat\u0131r\u0131ma devam..<\/span><\/p>\n

Bay Tutumlu<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bug\u00fcn itibariyle a\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Ciddi anlamda yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 26 ay olmu\u015f. 125 ay olarak planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131m finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck yolculu\u011funun %20’sini geride b\u0131rakt\u0131m. 100…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":400,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[5,3,7,8,6,4,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","category-erken-emeklilik","category-eurobond","category-finansal-ozgurluk","category-fire","category-hisse-senedi","category-portfoy","entry","double"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/baytutumlu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/pexels-photo-8370752.jpeg?fit=1880%2C1253&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":401,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46\/revisions\/401"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/400"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}