{"id":41,"date":"2020-11-01T10:44:00","date_gmt":"2020-11-01T07:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/01\/ekim-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/"},"modified":"2024-06-27T22:25:06","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:25:06","slug":"ekim-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/01\/ekim-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekim 2020 Sonu Portf\u00f6y Durumu"},"content":{"rendered":"

D\u00fcn itibariyle 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n onuncu ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Ciddi manada yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 28 ay olmu\u015f. Bu ay ilgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde \u00f6nce soluksuz y\u00fckseli\u015fin, ard\u0131ndan ay sonunda ise ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ay oldu. Ay sonuna yakla\u015f\u0131rken 1 milyon tl<\/span><\/a> isimli yaz\u0131y\u0131 yazm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m fakat son haftadaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle maalesef porf\u00f6y tekrar 6 haneye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc \ud83d\ude42 \u015eimdi piyasalar\u0131n son durumuna bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Dolar ge\u00e7en ay 7.73 TL idi, bu ay ise \u00f6zellikle merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faizi sabit tutma karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan h\u0131zla de\u011fer kazanarak 8.34’e geldi. Dolardaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin enflasyona etkilerini hen\u00fcz ya\u015fam\u0131yoruz fakat 2021 ba\u015f\u0131 itibariyle enflasyonumuz ciddi oranda artabilir, merkez bankas\u0131 nas\u0131l bir \u00f6nlem alacak g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Gram alt\u0131n ise 470 liradan ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ay\u0131 500 liran\u0131n \u00fczerinde kapatt\u0131. Son 1 haftada yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasalar da dahil olmak \u00fczere d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bir\u00e7ok Avrupa \u00fclkesinde ikinci dalga endi\u015feleri had safhaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. \u0130ngiltere, Galler ve Almanya karantina \u00f6nlemlerini art\u0131rarak kademeli soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kma yasa\u011f\u0131 uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Sonbahar ve k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar bekleniyor. Piyasa her durumu abart\u0131r diye bir s\u00f6z vard\u0131r, yaz\u0131n vaka art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmezden gelip a\u015f\u0131ya odaklanan piyasa, \u015fimdi de a\u015f\u0131 haberlerine kulak t\u0131kay\u0131p ekonomilerin kapanmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor diyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekim 2020 Biterken Portf\u00f6y Durumu<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en ay\u0131n yaz\u0131s\u0131na buradan<\/span><\/a> ula\u015fabilirsiniz. Bu ay, hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fc derleyip toparlad\u0131\u011f\u0131m ve sadele\u015fti\u011fim bir ay oldu. Hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fc tarihinin en y\u00fcksek portf\u00f6y b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ula\u015f\u0131p 600 bin TL’yi ge\u00e7tikten sonra ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda d\u00fc\u015ferek 554 binlere kadar indi. Bu ay KORDS, TUPRS ve TBORG hisselerimin tamam\u0131n\u0131 satt\u0131m. INFO portf\u00f6ye eklendi, EGEEN, TOASO, ALKIM, HEKTS ve ANHYT’da ise eklemeler yapt\u0131m. K\u0131saca al\u0131m sat\u0131mlar\u0131 yorumlayacak olursak;<\/span><\/p>\n

KORDS ve TUPRS pandemiden en \u00e7ok etkilenen havac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne paralel faaliyet g\u00f6steren iki \u015firket. TUPRS \u00f6zelinde zay\u0131f seyreden jet yak\u0131t\u0131 talebi ve buna paralel olarak \u015firketin KAP’a bildirdi\u011fi 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 marjlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beni bu karara itti. TUPRS Akdeniz rafineri marjlar\u0131n\u0131n 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda negatif, kendi \u015firket marjlar\u0131n\u0131n ise 1 usd\/varil olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkenin tekrar kapanma karar\u0131 almas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle i\u015f seyahatlerinin ba\u015flamamas\u0131, y\u00fcksek kar marj\u0131na sahip jet yak\u0131t\u0131 talebini\u00a0 bask\u0131lamaya devam ediyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

KORDS’da ise \u015firketin yat\u0131r\u0131m faaliyetleri pandemiye ra\u011fmen devam ediyor. Fakat \u00f6zellikle y\u00fckl\u00fc miktarda d\u00f6viz borcu bulunan \u015firket havac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in toparlanmas\u0131 daha yava\u015f olacakt\u0131r diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bu \u00e7eyrek de olduk\u00e7a zay\u0131f net kar getirmesi bekleniyor. Her zaman be\u011fendi\u011fim bir \u015firket olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen daha iyi f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek istedi\u011fim i\u00e7in, daha sonra portf\u00f6ye tekrar girme hakk\u0131 sakl\u0131 olarak KORDS hisselerimi satt\u0131m. TBORG’da da sat\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131n temel nedeni INFO’daki f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc de\u011ferlendirmek oldu.<\/span><\/p>\n

INFO k\u0131sm\u0131na gelecek olursak, \u015firket 2020 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ba\u015fka bir kimli\u011fe b\u00fcr\u00fcnd\u00fc. Pazar pay\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131nda halka a\u00e7\u0131k arac\u0131 kurumlar aras\u0131nda bu \u00e7eyre\u011fe kadar hep \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada kalan \u015firket kullan\u0131c\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla art\u0131rarak ikinci s\u0131raya yerle\u015fti. Bedelli sermaye art\u0131m\u0131 sonras\u0131nda da kredili i\u015flem olana\u011f\u0131 kolayla\u015facak olan \u015firketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bu vesileyle arac\u0131 kurumlar konusunda g\u00fcnl\u00fck payla\u015f\u0131mlar yapan Bar\u0131\u015f bey<\/span><\/a>‘e<\/span>\u00a0\u00e7ok te\u015fekk\u00fcr ederim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fc bu \u015fekildedir. Bu ay yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m al\u0131mlar ile portf\u00f6y\u00fcn 12 ayl\u0131k temett\u00fc miktar\u0131 20.454 TL oldu. Tabi bu 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n temett\u00fcleri, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise ge\u00e7en ay da yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 kat\u0131 yani 40 bin TL civar\u0131nda temett\u00fc bekliyorum. Umar\u0131m bu y\u0131l oldu\u011fu gibi temett\u00fc konusunda bir k\u0131s\u0131tlama tekrar ya\u015fanmaz.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Eurobond taraf\u0131nda bu ay herhangi bir i\u015flem yapmad\u0131m. 2 adet eurobonda ait toplamda 135.5 usd kupon \u00f6demesi ald\u0131m. Yani yakla\u015f\u0131k 1000 tl \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda bile\u015fik getiri makinas\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fletmek i\u00e7in yak\u0131t deposuna eklendi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Fon taraf\u0131nda bu ay OSL fonlar\u0131m\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 NNF’ye \u00e7evirdim. Toplam 37k’ya yak\u0131n fon varl\u0131\u011f\u0131m bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

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G\u00fcncel pasif gelir ve portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir. Bu ay portf\u00f6y TL baz\u0131nda %6.01 de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n usd baz\u0131nda %1.49 de\u011fer kaybetti. Dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi nereye kadar s\u00fcrecek merak ediyorum. Ben finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck yolundaki di\u011fer arkada\u015flar\u0131m gibi sab\u0131rla ve kararl\u0131l\u0131kla do\u011fru bildi\u011fim yolda devam ediyorum.<\/div>\n

Okudu\u011funuz i\u00e7in te\u015fekk\u00fcr ederim.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bay Tutumlu<\/span><\/p>\n

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D\u00fcn itibariyle 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n onuncu ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Ciddi manada yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 28 ay olmu\u015f. Bu ay ilgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde \u00f6nce soluksuz y\u00fckseli\u015fin, ard\u0131ndan…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":299,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[5,3,7,8,6,4,34,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","category-erken-emeklilik","category-eurobond","category-finansal-ozgurluk","category-fire","category-hisse-senedi","category-portfoy","category-yatirim","entry","double"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/baytutumlu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/pexels-martin-hungerbu\u0308hler-5229260.jpeg?fit=400%2C266&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":300,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41\/revisions\/300"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/299"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}