{"id":33,"date":"2020-12-30T20:01:00","date_gmt":"2020-12-30T17:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/30\/aralik-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/"},"modified":"2024-06-27T22:23:02","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:23:02","slug":"aralik-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/30\/aralik-2020-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Aral\u0131k 2020 Sonu Portf\u00f6y Durumu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Herkese selamlar,<\/span><\/p>\n

Her ne kadar 2020’nin son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc yar\u0131n olsa da, y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131 gecesi oldu\u011fundan dolay\u0131 ay sonu raporunu bug\u00fcnden payla\u015fmak istiyorum. Ciddi manada yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 bu ay sonu itibariyle 30 ay oldu. Zaman su gibi ak\u0131p ge\u00e7iyor. Az\u0131l\u0131 bir bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7inde oldu\u011fumuz \u015fu g\u00fcnlerde iyimserlik dalgas\u0131ndan en karamsar ay\u0131lar bile nasibini alm\u0131\u015f durumda. Endekste 1600 hatta 1800’ler konu\u015fulmaya ba\u015fland\u0131.\u00a0 Bu \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda piyasalar\u0131n son durumuna bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en ay\u0131 %15 civar\u0131nda bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle kapatan BIST100, bu ay da bir o kadar y\u00fckselerek 1283 puandan 1479 puana t\u0131rmand\u0131.\u00a0<\/span>Twitter hesab\u0131n\u0131 ilk a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131m g\u00fcnlerde eski hesapla 87000’ler civar\u0131nda idik. O zamanlar piyasaya nas\u0131l depresif bir hava hakimse \u015fimdi de o kadar manik bir ortam var. Neye elinizi atsan\u0131z y\u00fckseliyor, g\u00fcnde %1-2’yi be\u011fenmeyip hissem niye tavan olmad\u0131 diyen bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131(!) toplulu\u011fu piyasalarda i\u015flem yap\u0131yor. Bu hava sadece T\u00fcrkiye de\u011fil t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada var. Finansal piyasalara enjekte edilen neredeyse s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z miktarda likidite sayesinde hisse de\u011ferlemeleri de zirveye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. SP500 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131 3221 puandan kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131, \u015fu anda ise 3742 puanda bulunuyor. Her ne kadar %16’l\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015f az gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, Mart ay\u0131nda endeksin 2300’l\u00fc puanlar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc unutmamak gerekiyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

USDTRY ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l sonunda 5.95 lira idi, y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde olduk\u00e7a geni\u015f bir aral\u0131kta dans edip 8.35’lere kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rsek de y\u0131l sonu itibariyle 7.36 seviyesinde bulunuyor. 1 y\u0131lda %23.7 y\u00fckseli\u015f ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f. Gram alt\u0131n ise 2019’u 291 liradan kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131, \u015fu anda da 446 lirada bulunuyor. %53’l\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f ile zirvede ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Portf\u00f6y durumuna gelecek olursak, bu yaz\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda bir y\u0131l sonu kapan\u0131\u015f yaz\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmal\u0131 rakamlara da yer verece\u011fim. Hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fcm ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131 184 bin TL seviyesinde kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131, \u015fimdi ise 820 bin TL de\u011ferinde. Ne fark ama de\u011fil mi? Evet ama hepsi kar de\u011fil ne yaz\u0131k ki:) Ke\u015fke \u00f6yle olsayd\u0131. Haziran ay\u0131nda kira geliri elde etti\u011fim 1+1 evimi sat\u0131p portf\u00f6ye kademeli olarak eklemi\u015ftim. Hepsiyle olmasa da \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131yla hisse senedi al\u0131m\u0131 yapt\u0131m ve olduk\u00e7a tatmin edici getiriler elde ettim. \u015eu anda neredeyse y\u00fczde y\u00fcze yak\u0131n likit varl\u0131klarday\u0131m ve bu beni olduk\u00e7a rahat hissettiriyor. Gayrimenkul yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n da kendine g\u00f6re avantajlar\u0131 olsa da kirac\u0131 derdi, bak\u0131m masraflar\u0131 vb. gibi nedenlerle\u00a0<\/span>bana g\u00f6re olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na karar verdim. Hisse senedi ve \u015firket ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131, faaliyet raporu okumay\u0131 seviyorum ve finansal piyasalara daha fazla zaman ay\u0131rmaya devam edece\u011fim.<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir. Bu ay VESBE’yi portf\u00f6ye ekledim. B\u00f6ylece toplam hisse say\u0131m 12’ye \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f oldu. Bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc 10 hissenin alt\u0131na inemiyorum:) Daha fazla da a\u00e7\u0131lmak istemiyorum fakat duruma bakaca\u011f\u0131z. Bir\u00e7ok hissede kar oran\u0131m %100’\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131n\u0131n ve de\u011ferlemelerin y\u00fckselmesinin etkilerini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Bu y\u0131l pandemi nedeniyle temett\u00fc da\u011f\u0131t\u0131mlar\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dolay\u0131 temett\u00fc performas\u0131m \u00e7ok zay\u0131f kald\u0131. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00fcncel hesaplamalar\u0131mla yakla\u015f\u0131k 45 bin TL temett\u00fc almay\u0131 hedefliyorum. kapal\u0131 pozisyonlar dahil portf\u00f6y maliyetime g\u00f6re oranlarsak %11.1 temett\u00fc verimine dek geliyor. Umar\u0131m temett\u00fc d\u00f6nemine kadar lot say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 daha da art\u0131rabilirim.<\/span><\/div>\n

Eurobond taraf\u0131nda ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131 tamamlarken 12 bin usd nominal de\u011ferde eurobonda sahiptim. 2020 sonunda ise eurobond portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fc 25 bin usd seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kartt\u0131m. Bu eurobondlardan elde etti\u011fim y\u0131ll\u0131k kupon miktar\u0131 da 845 usd’den 1848.75 usd’ye y\u00fckseldi. Ortalama eurobond kupon verimim %7.28 oldu. Yani hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapmadan her ay eurobondlardan 154 usd civar\u0131ndan bir nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131m var. Hi\u00e7 fena de\u011fil bence, ne dersiniz?<\/span><\/p>\n

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Portf\u00f6y \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme maksad\u0131yla yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m fon yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ise gayet iyi gidiyor. Temel analizle hisse se\u00e7imi ve k\u0131sm\u0131 hedge uygulanan NNF fonu portf\u00f6y\u00fcmde ve performans\u0131ndan gayet memnunum.\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
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G\u00fcncel pasif gelir ve portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir. Bu ay hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fc %23.68, toplam portf\u00f6y ise %13.95 de\u011fer kazand\u0131. Dolar baz\u0131nda da rekor de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile %21.04 de\u011fer kazanan portf\u00f6y 166.992 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6zellikle ay sonunda dolar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ile dolar baz\u0131nda kazan\u00e7 daha da belirginle\u015fti. Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m<\/a> ve eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda g\u00fcncelledi\u011fim hesaplarda<\/a> medyan 122 bin ve max 140 bin usd hedefim vard\u0131. Bu hedeflerin ikisini de ge\u00e7mi\u015f oldum. 2021 sonu i\u00e7in hedefimi de 200 bin dolardan 250 bin dolara \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131yorum. Umar\u0131m dolar\u0131n T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki zay\u0131f seyri devam eder ve hedeflerime daha erken ula\u015fabilirim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda portf\u00f6y b\u00fcy\u00fcmelerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da bu y\u0131l\u0131 hem TL hem de usd baz\u0131nda rekor b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapat\u0131yorum. Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri t\u00fcm portf\u00f6y TL baz\u0131nda %122, usd baz\u0131nda ise %79.65 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Bu getirileri muhtemelen 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00f6remeyece\u011fim fakat ya\u015farken olduk\u00e7a iyi hissettirdi\u011fi bir ger\u00e7ek \ud83d\ude42<\/span><\/div>\n
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Okudu\u011funuz i\u00e7in te\u015fekk\u00fcr ederim.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n
Bay Tutumlu<\/span><\/div>\n
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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Herkese selamlar, Her ne kadar 2020’nin son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc yar\u0131n olsa da, y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131 gecesi oldu\u011fundan dolay\u0131 ay sonu raporunu bug\u00fcnden payla\u015fmak istiyorum. Ciddi manada yat\u0131r\u0131ma…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":285,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[5,3,7,8,6,4,34,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","category-erken-emeklilik","category-eurobond","category-finansal-ozgurluk","category-fire","category-hisse-senedi","category-portfoy","category-yatirim","entry","double"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/baytutumlu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-nick-bondarev-4534200.jpeg?fit=639%2C426&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":286,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33\/revisions\/286"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/285"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}