{"id":28,"date":"2021-03-31T19:52:00","date_gmt":"2021-03-31T16:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/31\/mart-2021-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/"},"modified":"2024-06-27T22:23:02","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:23:02","slug":"mart-2021-sonu-portfoy-durumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/31\/mart-2021-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Mart 2021 Sonu Portf\u00f6y Durumu"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Herkese selamlar,<\/span><\/p>\n

Bir ay\u0131 daha geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Ciddi manada finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 33 ay olmu\u015f. Mart ay\u0131na t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 etkisi alt\u0131na alan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc dalga endi\u015feleriyle beraber artan vaka say\u0131lar\u0131, yurt i\u00e7inde ise merkez bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6revden al\u0131nmas\u0131 damgas\u0131n\u0131 vurdu. \u015eubat ay\u0131nda yatay seyreden yurti\u00e7i piyasalar mart ba\u015f\u0131nda tekrar y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7erek 1600 seviyelerini test etmi\u015fti. Fakat ay sonuna do\u011fru bir hafta sonu karar\u0131yla MB ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6revden al\u0131nmas\u0131yla tekrar artan endi\u015feler sonucu hem dolar y\u00fckseldi hem de borsa sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle bankac\u0131l\u0131k endeksinden yabanc\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla usd baz\u0131nda 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki dip seviyelerinin dahi alt\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f durumda. <\/span>Ya\u015fanan volatiliteden CDS de nasibini ald\u0131. Karar \u00f6ncesi 320 bp civar\u0131nda seyreden 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k CDS rakamlar\u0131 480’lere kadar y\u00fckselerek bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerimizi ciddi manada art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu, ayn\u0131 zamanda eurobond fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da ucuzlamas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. B\u00f6ylece eurobond al\u0131mlar\u0131m i\u00e7in gerekli \u015fartlar olu\u015fmu\u015f oldu. \u00c7ok fazla vadesiz d\u00f6vizim olmasa da bu seviyelerden d\u00fczenli al\u0131m yapmaya devam edece\u011fim.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Piyasalar\u0131n genel durumuna bakacak olursak Mart ay\u0131na 1471 puandan ba\u015flayan BIST100 endeksi %5.5 de\u011fer kaybederek ay\u0131 1391 puanla bitirmi\u015f oldu. SP500 ise 3803 puandan ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mart ay\u0131n\u0131n sonunda 3987 puanda bulunuyor. Dolar\/TL’de ise tarihi y\u00fcksek seviyeler g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye devam ediyor. Mart ay\u0131na 7.47 seviyesinden ba\u015flayan dolar ay sonu itibariyle 8.26 civar\u0131nda. <\/span><\/p>\n

Portf\u00f6y durumuna gelecek olursak, ay sonuna do\u011fru olu\u015fan \u00e7alkant\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6nemde portf\u00f6yde birka\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fiklik yapt\u0131m. Portf\u00f6y\u00fcmdeki baz\u0131 hisselerde olu\u015fan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlamalar ve g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in BNTAS hisselerimin tamam\u0131n\u0131 satarak ucuz g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm di\u011fer hisselere da\u011f\u0131tt\u0131m. Al\u0131m yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m hisseler EREGL, AKGRT, TOASO, ISMEN ve DEVA oldu. Ayr\u0131ca portf\u00f6ye perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fclkemizdeki lideri olan BIMAS hissesini ekledim. Sekt\u00f6re g\u00f6re olduk\u00e7a sa\u011flam finansal yap\u0131s\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde defansif olmas\u0131 nedeniyle bir anlamda hedge vazifesi de g\u00f6recek. B\u00f6ylece portf\u00f6y\u00fcn betas\u0131n\u0131 da biraz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f oldum. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 yukar\u0131 ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 fiyatlamalar\u0131n olduk\u00e7a sert ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 bir y\u0131l olaca\u011fa benziyor. Bunun gibi testere piyasalar\u0131nda defansif hisseler gece kafam\u0131 yast\u0131\u011fa daha rahat koymam\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>\n

Bu ay ayn\u0131 zamanda y\u0131l\u0131n en sevdi\u011fim d\u00f6nemi olan temett\u00fc d\u00f6neminin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 oldu. AKGRT, ANHYT, EGEEN, EREGL, TOASO ve ISMEN hisselerinden temett\u00fc ald\u0131m. Temett\u00fclerin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131 ile tekrar al\u0131m yapt\u0131m. Hatta h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz ge\u00e7en haftada bir miktar kredi kulland\u0131m. Temett\u00fcler de bir nevi avans g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. <\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir. Hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fc ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re %4.21 de\u011fer kazand\u0131. BIST100’\u00fcn %5.5 de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fi bir ayda kendi ad\u0131ma olduk\u00e7a iyi bir rakam diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Eurobond taraf\u0131nda bu ay <\/span>US900123CG37 kodlu eurobonddan toplamda 4000 usd nominallik al\u0131m yapt\u0131m. B\u00f6ylece y\u0131ll\u0131k eurobond kupon miktar\u0131m 2112.5 dolara y\u00fckseldi. Ayl\u0131k bazda 176 usd yani g\u00fcncel kurla 1455 TL pasif gelir elde etmi\u015f durumday\u0131m. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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G\u00fcncel pasif gelir ve portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir. Ay sonundaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen toplam portf\u00f6y TL baz\u0131nda %5.32 de\u011fer kazanarak 1 milyon 462 bin TL’ye ula\u015ft\u0131. Usd baz\u0131nda ise %5.43 de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ile 177.187 dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. Kas\u0131m, aral\u0131k ve ocak aylar\u0131ndaki %10’un \u00fczerindeki usd baz\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flardan sonra portf\u00f6y uzun s\u00fcreden sonra dolar baz\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f oldu. Finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck seviyem ise ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 artarak %54.77 oldu. %100 seviyesini ge\u00e7ene kadar tasarruf ve yat\u0131r\u0131ma devam..<\/span><\/p>\n

Okudu\u011funuz i\u00e7in te\u015fekk\u00fcr ederim.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bay Tutumlu<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Herkese selamlar, Bir ay\u0131 daha geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Ciddi manada finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 33 ay olmu\u015f. Mart ay\u0131na t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 etkisi alt\u0131na alan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":186,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[5,3,7,8,6,4,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","category-erken-emeklilik","category-eurobond","category-finansal-ozgurluk","category-fire","category-hisse-senedi","category-portfoy","entry","double"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/baytutumlu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/mountains-1761292_1920.jpg?fit=1024%2C577&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":862,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28\/revisions\/862"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/186"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}