{"id":16,"date":"2021-10-28T15:01:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-28T12:01:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2024-06-27T22:23:02","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:23:02","slug":"ekim-2021-sonu-portfoy-durumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/28\/ekim-2021-sonu-portfoy-durumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekim 2021 Sonu Portf\u00f6y Durumu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Herkese selamlar,<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu ay kapak foto\u011fraf\u0131 olarak g\u00fcn do\u011fumunu se\u00e7tim \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcreci karanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n en yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu andan g\u00fcne\u015fin do\u011fu\u015funa do\u011fru ilerleyen zamana benzetiyorum.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bir ay\u0131n daha sonuna geldik. Ciddi manada yat\u0131r\u0131ma ba\u015flayal\u0131 tam 40 ay olmu\u015f. Ekim ay\u0131na MB’n\u0131n faiz indirimi ve ard\u0131ndan gelen borsan\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi damga vurdu diyebiliriz. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok yerinde merkez bankalar\u0131 artan enflasyon endi\u015feleriyle faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na giderken biz zaten y\u00fcksek olan faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. 200 bp indirimin neticesinde dolar\/tl s\u0131\u00e7rama yaparak 9.7 seviyelerine kadar geldikten sonra geri \u00e7ekilerek 9.61 seviyesinden ay\u0131 kapatt\u0131. Bir\u00e7ok ki\u015fi dolar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle borsada d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklerken tam tersi oldu ve BIST mini bir ralli yaparak 1400 civar\u0131ndan 1522 puana kadar y\u00fckseldi. Bunun sebebi olarak y\u00fcksek enflasyonu ve dolar baz\u0131nda hisselerin \u00e7ok ucuz kalmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterenler var. Ben piyasay\u0131 zamanlamaya ve anlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmadan \u015firketlerime odaklanarak fiyat makul olduk\u00e7a al\u0131m yapmaya devam ediyorum. \u015eimdi piyasalar\u0131n genel durumuna bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>\n

SP500 ge\u00e7en ay\u0131 4356 puandan kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131, an itibariyle ise 4551 puanda bulunuyor. Dolar\/tl ve borsay\u0131 yukarda yazm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m, CDS ise 426 puandan ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131n\u0131 442 puandan tamamlad\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Portf\u00f6y durumuna gelecek olursak, bu ay faiz indirimi karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi ve hemen sonras\u0131nda \u00e7e\u015fitli eklemeler yapt\u0131m. B\u00f6ylece birka\u00e7 ayd\u0131r biriktirdi\u011fim nakitlerin neredeyse tamam\u0131n\u0131 yakt\u0131m. Hisse portf\u00f6y\u00fcne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m eklemeler \u015fu \u015fekilde oldu.<\/span><\/p>\n

AKGRT 1000 adet<\/span><\/p>\n

ISMEN 1000 adet<\/span><\/p>\n

VESBE 1263 adet(d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f fiyatla)<\/span><\/p>\n

YATAS 510 adet(45 adedi temett\u00fc ile)<\/span><\/p>\n

EGEEN 9 adet<\/span><\/p>\n

DEVA 200 adet<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu ay borsada i\u015flem hacimleri artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle ISMEN’de VIOP vade sonunun da etkisiyle g\u00fcncel hacimler t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesiyle de ihracat\u00e7\u0131 ve d\u00f6viz pozisyonu y\u00fcksek olan \u015firketlerin piyasa de\u011ferinde art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fad\u0131k.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu ay, 40 ayl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131m ge\u00e7mi\u015fimde ilk defa vadeli piyasalarda i\u015flem yapt\u0131m. Bundan sonra da portf\u00f6y\u00fcm\u00fcn %10-30’u civar\u0131nda bir pozisyon b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcyle vadeli piyasalarda poz a\u00e7may\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bunu, genellikle BIST30 endeksine long veya short pozisyon a\u00e7makla yapaca\u011f\u0131m. MB faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcn deneme maksatl\u0131 1534 puandan 3 adet BIST30 long pozisyonu a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. D\u00fcn vade sonu oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in pozisyon 1635 puandan otomatik olarak kapand\u0131. Bu i\u015flemden yakla\u015f\u0131k 3000 TL kar elde ettim. Vadeli i\u015flemlerde k\u0131smen teknik analiz kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131m stratejim \u015fu \u015fekilde,<\/span><\/p>\n

BIST100 endeksinde 5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama 22 g\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yukar\u0131 veya a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kesti\u011finde i\u015flem yap\u0131yorum. Bu sistemi hisse.nette de uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r yazan @cautionary nickli sn Ali \u00d6zt\u00fcrk’ten esinlendim. Sistem orta vadeli oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00e7ok s\u0131k sinyal \u00fcretmiyor. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flemler i\u00e7in de 8 saatlik hareketli ortalaman\u0131n 40 saatli\u011fi kesti\u011fi zamanlarda dikkatli izlemeye ge\u00e7iyorum. K\u0131sa vade i\u015flem yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m i\u00e7in bu sinyali sadece d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fleri tahmin etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131yorum.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcncel portf\u00f6y durumu bu \u015fekildedir.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Bu ay YATAS hissesinden toplamda 603.25 tl temett\u00fc ald\u0131m. B\u00f6ylece bu y\u0131l toplamda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m net temett\u00fc 44.461 tl oldu. Eurobond taraf\u0131nda ise 2 adet eurobonddan toplamda 135 usd kupon geliri elde ettim. Portf\u00f6y pasif gelir \u00fcretmeye devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Eurobond taraf\u0131nda bu ay i\u015flem yapmad\u0131m. Ge\u00e7en ay CDS 440 civar\u0131nda iken 1 adet al\u0131m yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Elimde olan az miktarda vadesiz d\u00f6vizi de hisse senedi almak i\u00e7in bozdurdum. Borsa da buna kay\u0131ts\u0131z kalmad\u0131 ve y\u00fckseli\u015fine ba\u015flad\u0131:)\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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G\u00fcncel portf\u00f6y durumu ve pasif gelirler bu \u015fekildedir. BIST100’\u00fcn %8.22 de\u011fer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayda hisse senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fcm %17.51, toplam portf\u00f6y\u00fcm ise %10.66 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Usd baz\u0131nda ise toplam b\u00fcy\u00fcme %2.37 oldu. Yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 10.076 lira olurken finansal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck oran\u0131m s\u0131\u00e7rama yaparak %56.03’e y\u00fckseldi. %100 olana kadar tasarruf ve yat\u0131r\u0131ma devam..<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Herkese selamlar, Bu ay kapak foto\u011fraf\u0131 olarak g\u00fcn do\u011fumunu se\u00e7tim \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcreci karanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n en yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu andan g\u00fcne\u015fin do\u011fu\u015funa do\u011fru ilerleyen zamana benzetiyorum. Bir…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":271,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[5,3,7,8,6,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa","category-erken-emeklilik","category-eurobond","category-finansal-ozgurluk","category-fire","category-portfoy","entry","double"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/baytutumlu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ocean-ga7ce71daa_1920.jpeg?fit=639%2C426&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":272,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16\/revisions\/272"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/271"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baytutumlu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}